World about US

20-04-2026

How the world views America today: Ukraine, South Africa and Japan on the new US role

In different corners of the world, the United States appears in the news agenda with different faces — sometimes as the main military backer, sometimes as a complicated diplomatic partner, sometimes as a strategic security guarantor in the Asia‑Pacific region. If you try to see this not through America's own eyes but through the lenses of Kyiv, Pretoria and Tokyo, a fairly coherent, though contradictory, picture emerges: the US remains an indispensable player, but confidence in its reliability and predictability has noticeably declined.

In the Ukrainian discussion, America is still primarily associated with weapons, sanctions and political signals on which the life of the front and the prospect of the state's survival literally depend. Ukrainian analytical outlets discuss in detail the cuts and pauses in American military aid, considering them the central factor in current risks. Thus, ZN.ua, recounting calculations by the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, emphasizes that European countries since autumn have tried to scale up their own packages, but “це занадто мало, щоб компенсувати припинення підтримки з боку США” — far too little to compensate for pauses and reductions from Washington. The piece notes that without American air‑defense systems, primarily Patriot, it is difficult for Ukraine to close the gap against ballistic strikes, and any political cycle in the US automatically becomes a factor of military uncertainty for Kyiv. Analyzing recent reports on the structure of aid, Ukrainian experts speak of a “new normal” in which Europe is forced to backstop a declining American share, but candidly admit: without the US the overall volume and range of armaments still remain insufficient to break Russia's strategic initiative. Against this background, columnists draw uncomfortable parallels between Ukraine's dependence on Congressional decisions and earlier examples of US “fatigue” with protracted wars.

Another important theme for Ukraine is the duality of America's role in international justice. Human‑rights outlet ZMINA drew attention to the fact that the US reduced its participation in international mechanisms investigating Russian war crimes, withdrawing from the International Center for the Prosecution of the Crime of Aggression and effectively winding down work in the joint investigative team. In Kyiv's expert community this is perceived not as a renunciation of moral rhetoric but as a signal: even amid statements about “defending the world order,” Washington still tightly meters its involvement in formal legal formats, especially where a precedent could be dangerous for the US itself in future. Lawyers explain to readers that for Washington the political, rather than judicial, line of pressure on Moscow remains key — sanctions, export controls, support for the Ukrainian army, not the construction of universal accountability mechanisms. In Ukrainian discourse this evokes mixed feelings: on one hand, without American political and military support the current level of resistance would not exist; on the other, suspicion grows that the US acts here primarily out of its own interests and fears rather than from the logic of universal justice.

The South African agenda in recent days portrays America primarily as a complicated but necessary partner, with whom relations underwent serious cooling and now require a manual reset. AP and South African commentators analyze in detail the appointment of veteran negotiator from the end of apartheid Rolf Meyer as South Africa’s new ambassador to the US, openly calling the move an attempt at “detente” after a period of acute mutual irritation. Analysts recall that in recent years Washington and Pretoria have too often found themselves on opposite sides of key international divides — from votes on Ukraine at the UN and the participation of the South African navy in exercises with Russia and China to US accusations that South Africa was covertly providing military assistance to Moscow. Against this backdrop, choosing a figure associated with the peace negotiations at the end of apartheid is read as a symbolic gesture: the ruling party is trying to send to Washington a person for whom dialogue with a strong and suspicious partner is a professional biography.

South African commentators stress that the new ambassador will have to explain to the American administration Pretoria's much more multipolar worldview. For the local audience the US is the most important trading and investment partner, a source of technology and a market for South African goods under the AGOA preferences regime, but it is not the only external center of power. Columns cautiously but consistently state: Washington must get used to South Africa not intending to become a compliant element of an “anti‑Russian coalition” and will balance its ties with Russia, China and the West based on its own notions of a just international order. The fact that the reset process itself was initiated by the South African side through a personnel decision is interpreted as a sign that the elite nonetheless fears losses from a prolonged quarrel with America — and above all a possible review of trade preferences by the US Congress.

The Japanese discussion of America noticeably differs in tone and theme. Here the top priority is not Ukraine or South African diplomatic subtleties, but security issues in Japan’s own region, where the US serves as the main, and often the only, guarantor of deterrence against China and North Korea. In a recent episode of the program “日曜スクープ” on BS Asahi, experts discussed the escalation in the Middle East and US‑Iran tensions, but did so through the prism of Japan's vulnerability: any escalation involving the US in the Persian Gulf immediately affects the country's energy security and how ready Washington is to focus on the Asian direction. Tsugita Hiroki, former head of the international information department at the major Kyodo news agency, explained to the audience that American foreign policy, despite rhetorical shifts, remains a policy of allocating limited resources, and if the White House becomes mired in yet another Middle East crisis, Tokyo will be forced to think about strengthening itself.

This leads to domestic Japanese debates about rising military spending: recent news digests note that the defense budget for fiscal 2026 reached a historically high ¥10.6 trillion, but still falls short of the prime minister’s stated goal of 2% of GDP, remaining around 1.9%. This is discussed not separately from the US but as part of a broader reassessment of the bilateral alliance: Japanese society is gradually getting used to the idea that dependence solely on the American “nuclear umbrella” in an era of growing Chinese power and unpredictability in American policy is dangerous. Commentators emphasize: the alliance with Washington is vital, but it can no longer serve as justification for not developing Japan's own means of deterrence. At the same time, Japanese experts closely follow internal American debates — from Congressional disputes over spending on Ukraine to polarization around Taiwan — treating all of this as indicators of how reliable the American umbrella will be in ten to fifteen years.

A common theme uniting Ukraine, South Africa and Japan is less a question of being “for” or “against” America than skepticism about its long‑term predictability. In Kyiv this manifests as anxiety over any pause in weapons deliveries and painful attention to US domestic political conflicts: Ukrainian authors carefully recount scandals and sharp quarrels between Washington and Kyiv, seeing in them not just diplomatic episodes but threats to the country's existence. South African commentators, by contrast, speak of the need to build relations with the US in such a way that a change of administration in Washington will not each time lead to a revision of the entire spectrum of ties — from trade to military cooperation. In Japanese discussions the refrain increasingly heard is that an American ally, even while remaining key, cannot be the sole pillar in a world where US domestic politics itself becomes a source of foreign‑policy zigzags.

Local contexts, however, make the tones very different. For Ukraine America is simultaneously a “senior ally” and an object of painful dependence; any doubt about the volume of aid is perceived as a personal threat. For South Africa the US is a major but one of several global partners, with whom one must conduct a complex dialogue about equality and respect for the Global South. For Japan Washington remains the central pillar of the entire security architecture, but precisely for that reason Japanese analysis looks closely for signs of US fatigue and isolationism in American policy, trying to incorporate them early into its own strategies.

Putting all these fragments together reveals a paradoxical picture: in none of the three countries is there a serious discussion about a “world without America” — on the contrary, the whole argument revolves around how to adapt to a world with America, which increasingly operates in a mode of selective engagement, measuring every step by domestic costs and electoral advantage. In that sense, Ukrainian anxieties, South African attempts at balancing and Japanese calculations on the defense budget are three different but complementary reactions to the same reality: the United States remains indispensable, but has long ceased to be uncontroversial.